Teich's Tech Tidbit of the Week
March 20, 2000
Science Fiction as Futurism

Winsor McCay City by Thomas Kidd

Tidbit Archive

Today's world is full of examples of science fiction that have become reality.  Space travel is the most obvious and best-recognized, but computers, robots, and genetic engineering--to name just a few possibilities--were all anticipated in science fiction before they became fact.  Not all science fiction either predicts or seeks to predict the future.  Some is simply fantasy--exercise of the writer's imagination--while some is based on extrapolation of current trends, often with the aim of cautioning about possible disasters that lie ahead.  Brave New World, 1984, and Riddley Walker are examples. 

"Hard SF," often written by scientists or writers with technical backgrounds, is most firmly based in science and technology and is can be read as a kind of speculative futurism.  Some "cyberpunk" writing, a genre well represented by Neal Stephenson or William Gibson, also seems remarkably prescient in view of current developments in computer and Internet technology. 

There are literally thousands of sites on the web devoted to science fiction.  A Google search on the words "science fiction" brings up about 165,000 listings.  I've selected a few that speak specifically to the predictive value of science fiction.  Several describe the science fiction roots of current technology.  But there are also well-informed skeptics, including Bruce Sterling, who remind us of the many sci-fi predictions that have not been realized.

Links:

Science fiction writers' predictions of hot job tracks for the year 3000.

Science fiction as an extrapolation of the present rather than a prediction of the future (includes links to some online stories and commentary about various SF writers).

A glossary of the genres of science fiction.  See "Hard SF."

Science Fiction to Science Fact Exhibit at the Johnson Space Center in Houston, Texas.

Nanotechnology in science fiction.

Kathryn Cramer, "On Science and Science Fiction" -- interactive introduction to The Ascent of Wonder.

Gregory Benford (one of the best-known "hard SF" writers), "A Scientists' Notebook."  A very interesting discussion of science fiction as prediction of the future.

"Writing the Future:  Computers in Science Fiction," by Jonathan Vos Post and Kirk L. Kroeker, from Computer, published by IEEE.

"A Century of Science Fiction," by Bruce Sterling.  A skeptical view of SF's predictive value, in Time magazine's 100 scientists and thinkers.

"Some Thoughts on Ethics and Science Fiction," by Ross Pavlac (The Ethical Spectacle, March 1996).

Technology and the Future 8th edition cover

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